Fantasy Football Scoring Dependency

“Remember, the goal is to predict what we think will happen. This exercise aims to highlight players we expect to regress to their mean scoring performance based on their performance last year, as well as learning where we should focus our roster construction.” Rich Maletto examines a player’s previous scoring and that of similar players in the same specific scheme. Together, we’ll delve into the specifics of a player’s fantasy football points, dissecting the scoring categories in which they excel. Are they prolific touchdown scorers with a high touchdown rate? Does their high average depth of target explain a low catch rate? Is this running back a key player in the passing game? Projections can only answer some of these questions, but the more we understand, the more we can strategize…

Rich Maletto

June 22, 2026

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